Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 won’t help full self-driving and that he doesn’t really know what it can take.
Tens of millions of Tesla automobiles are geared up with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the yr, we’ve got been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to return clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that route through the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO mentioned when requested about Tesla reaching its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 automobiles:
We aren’t 100% certain. HW4 has a number of instances the aptitude of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes a number of efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There’s some probability that HW3 doesn’t obtain the security stage that enables for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 may probably not help unsupervised self-driving.
Nevertheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is at the moment utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 despite the fact that one was initially meant as redundancy, which you want to obtain Tesla’s promised stage 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it nearly unattainable for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would wish to maintain creating software program to unravel self-driving, which continues to be removed from conducting, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He mentioned that Tesla would provide a pc improve if Tesla discovered for certain that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we are going to improve those that purchased HW3 FSD without spending a dime. And we’ve got designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand said, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it at the moment exist.
He mentioned it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of completely different energy and digital camera harnesses. The entire pc can be a special kind issue that will make it onerous to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would wish to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 vehicles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, despite the fact that HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger situation.
Electrek’s Take
I feel the extra crucial remark is that this:
“We don’t really know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply isn’t any for the explanations said above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it needs to be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That needs to be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He mentioned yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would remedy autonomy by the top of the yr.
Now, he’s assured that this can occur subsequent yr, and we must always imagine him. Why?
The details are that Tesla was mistaken about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was mistaken about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is vitally doubtless mistaken about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it gained’t know for certain till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” bundle and saying it can occur subsequent yr?
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